"Korea-US-China Trilateral Relations in the Xi Jinping Era: Complexity, Conflict, and Interdependence"

※본 도서는 2024년 12월 경 미국에서  출판 될 예정입니다. (출판사: Rowman and Littlefield) 

Contributors (집필진)

Author's Copy Editor

• Benedict Yim, Attorney at Law

목차 

Preface by Duck Koo Chung

Introduction by Duck Koo Chung

Overview: World Order and Indo-Pacific Challenges (Contingencies) in the Xi Jinping Era  by Byung-se Yun

PART I: WILL IT BE SMOOTH SAILING FOR THE XI JINPING REGIME?

[1] Xi Jinping’s Third Term and Updates in China’s Inner Politics byYang Gabyong

• Continuation and Evolution in Chinese Politics 
• Decision-making in the CCP 
• Composition of the New Leadership and Policy Directions 
• Xi Jinping’s Global and Regional Perceptions 
• Political Significance and Evaluation of Xi Jinping’s Third Consecutive Term 
• Political Mobilization for Xi Jinping’s “New Era” 

[2] A Question of Political Stability and Sustainability by Yang Gabyong

• Strengthening Xi’s Rule and Garnering Public Opinion 
• Vertical Centralization or Horizontal Decentralization 
• Inner Party Struggle: Gone or Latent? 
• Stability of the Xi Jinping Regime 
• Factors That May Weaken the Xi Jinping Regime 
• Teetering Xi Jinping Regime 
• Can Internal Power Struggle Arise? 
• How Long Will Xi Jinping Stay in Power? 
• The Future of the Xi Jinping Regime

[3] Xi Jinping’s Brand of Social Control Work? by Nam Suk Ha

• Outlook for Societal Control during Xi Jinping’s Third Term 
• Digital Technology and Societal Control 
• Will Xi Jinping’s Societal Controls Work? 
• China’s Social Issues and Policy Challenges

[4] Has China Peaked?: Status of the Chinese Economy by Pyeong Seob Yang

• Peak China Debate and Growth Potential 
• Challenges to China’s Economy 
• China’s Ambition to Overtake the US Economy Will Be Delayed 
• Challenges of Xi Jinping’s Third Term: Preventing Growth Slowdown 
• Korea-US-China Triangular Economic Relations 
• Korea’s Choice: “US for Security, World for Economy” and Pareto Optimum 

[5] Global CHIP War and Korea-US-China Relations by Heungchong Kim

• Overview of the Global Semiconductor Industry 
• The Chip War 
• South Korea’s Position and Recommendations 

[6] Xi Jinping, the Man: Impact of Xi Jinping’s Personality Traits on Decision-Making by Yang Gabyong

• Xi Jinping’s Multifaceted Nature 167
• Pros and Cons of Xi Jinping’s Personality 168

by You Sangchul

• Xi Jinping’s Idiosyncrasies 
• Six Idiosyncrasies Formed during Xi Jinping’s Formative Years 
• Obsession with Power 
• Bullheaded in Anti-Western and Pro-Chinese Slant 
• Red Jiangshan Thoughts (江山思惟) of the Red Second Generation (紅二代), the Chosen Few 
• Instinct for Struggle and Bold Betrayal 
• The Paramount Leader Demanding Ceaseless Struggle from the CCP Rank-and-File 
• Consummate Pragmatism 
• Collectivism Built on Individual Sacrifices 

PART II: IMPACT OF XI JINPING’S ERA ON THE WORLD ORDER AND KOREA-US-CHINA TRILATERAL RELATIONS 

[7] China’s View of World Civilization, Community with a Shared Future of Mankind by In-Hee Kim

• Korea First Proposed the Community with a Shared Future of Mankind? 
• Pax Sinica and Global Governance 
• The China Dream and the Community with a Shared Future of Mankind 
• Limitations of the Community with a Shared Future of Mankind Ideology and the Outlook on Xi Jinping’s Third Term 

[8] US-China Conflict and Korea’s Dilemma by Heungkyu Kim

• Chaos: The US-China Strategic Competition 
• Donald Trump: Paradigm Shift in the US-China Relations 
• Biden Administration: Struggle to Recalibrate the China Policy 
• China Policy of the Biden Administration 
• US-China Relations during Xi Jinping’s Third Term: between New Cold War and Managed Competition 
• Prognosis 
• Korea: Strategic Choice 

[9] Navigating the North Korean Nuclear Challenge Amidst US-China Strategic Competition by Chaesung Chun

• The Complexities of North Korea’s Nuclear Dilemma 
• North Korea’s Strategic Shift: Modernizing Weapons and Diplomatic Alliances 
• North Korea’s Evolving Strategy Toward South Korea 
• South Korea’s Strategic Approach to North Korea’s Shifting Strategies and Global Dynamics
• Reassessing Priorities: The Shift in US Foreign Policy Resources and the Denuclearization Imperative in
• North Korea 
• Convincing China of the Imperative for North Korea’s Denuclearization 
• Trump’s Impact on North Korea Policy: Implications for South Korea’s Defense and Nuclear Strategy 

[10] Taiwan Contingency: Will China Invade Taiwan? by Jun-Young Kang and Young Hee Chang

• Heightened Geopolitical Tensions in the Taiwan Strait under the Regime of Democratic Progressive Party 
• Implications of Taiwan’s 2024 Presidential Election 
• What Does Taiwan Mean for Xi Jinping? 
• The “One China” Principle and Taiwanese Indigenous Consciousness 
• New Direction of Xi Jinping’s Taiwan Policy 
• Strategic Significance of Taiwan Strait and South China Sea 
• Strategic Value of Taiwan as a Beacon of Democracy 
• Taiwanese Perceptions on Xi Jinping’s Belligerent Stance 
• The Future of Taiwan Strait: From Peace to War 
• U.S. Position: Strategic Ambiguity 2.0 
• China’s Hidden Motives 
• Effect of Taiwan Crisis on Korean Peninsula: Resurgence of North Korean Factor? 
• Concerns about Cross-Strait Tensions in South Korea 

PART III: A MATRIX ANALYSIS ON KOREA-US-CHINA TRILATERAL RELATIONS

[11] A Matrix Analysis on the US-Korea-China Trilateral Relations by Duck Koo Chung

Why Triangular Matrix Analysis?

• Korea-US-China Triangular Matrix 
• Managing Complexity, Collision, and Interdependence 
• Convergent and Divergent Interests in Korea-US-China Triangular Relations 
• New Balancing of Korea-US Alliance within Korea-US-China Triangle 

Notes 

Index